With the BJP government coming to power with a clear majority, many
market experts believe that India is on the verge of a long term bull
market. Therefore making money in a bull market is as easy as taking
candy from a baby right? Time to give that concept a second thought…
many times investors fail to get the returns they deserve because they
fall prey to some common mistakes while investing in bull markets.
This decade-old blog is formed for sharing useful info from financial world free of cost .All posts here are for reference purpose only. It is advisable to study and learn the investment process and decision making criteria yourself .Users are advised to rely on their own judgement or investment advisor when any making investment decisions. Any investment decision should be taken with your own analysis and risk. The blog is aimed to promote the awareness of stock markets among retail investors.
Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Tuesday, July 15, 2014
UNION BUDGET - KEY TAKEAWAYS
1-CONSUMER Sector (FMCG)
Higher than expected excise duty on
cigarettes
Defensive stocks continue to remain
expensive
2-METALS
Upward revision in royalty rates – not a
surprise, was already due
Levy of import duty on coking coal, met
coke to marginally impact companies
Increase in export duty on Bauxite from
10% to 20%, positive for aluminium
manufacturers without captive bauxite
Intent to resolve iron ore mining issues
quickly – positive for steel producers
3-HEALTHCARE
Not much announced in the budget
The government is focusing on
healthcare, regulatory and research
infrastructure, rural penetration and
health for all
Positive for domestic growth over the
medium to long term
US opportunity remains very positive
along with revival in domestic
formulations
US patent cliff to benefit pharma
companies and domestic formulations
could also do well going forward
4-AUTOS
The increase in Sec 80CC benefit and
hike in IT slabs may lead to more
disposable income (marginally positive
for two wheelers and entry segment cars)
Excise duty benefit had already been
extended till Dec’14 before the budget
We remain positive on passenger vehicles
and medium and heavy commercial
vehicles (M&HCVs)
Resolution of mining issues should
increase demand for M&HCVs
Recovery in economic growth would lead
to a revival in demand (already visible in
June auto numbers)
5-OIL & GAS
We expect major policy announcements
for the sector to come in the next few
quarters
Decision awaited on gas pricing
framework and actual roadmap on
reducing oil subsidies further
Broad guidelines discussed in the budget
are positive, in our view – the need to
overhaul the fuel subsidy regime
including targeted subsidies, emphasis
on raising natural gas penetration,
harnessing unconventional gas
production and reviving production from
mature/shut E&P wells
6-FERTILIZER
New urea policy to be announced.
However, the timelines are not clear.
We expect the higher budgetary support
to trickle down to the small and marginal
farmers; improving their ability to afford
high yielding variety seeds, fertilizers,
crop protection chemicals and irrigation
equipments
7-FINANCIALS
PSU bank re-capitalization would be
positive. More clarity awaited. Banks will
need roughly Rs 2,40,000 crore
(US$40bn) by 2018 to meet Basel-III
requirements
Infra lending: Banks will be permitted to
raise long term funds for lending to the
infrastructure sector with minimum
regulatory pre-emption
FDI in insurance increased from 26% to
49%
Debt recovery tribunals (DRT): Six new
debt recovery tribunals to be set up. This
is a positive and will speed up recovery of
bad loans
Housing Loans: Increased interest
deduction on housing loans to Rs200,000
from Rs150,000. Positive: will reduce
interest burden on the consumer. To
illustrate this, for a Rs2mn loan the
effective interest cost (after tax savings)
would decline from 6% to 5.2%
8-TELECOM
10% customs duty on high end telecom
equipment is a negative for telcos
9-INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
No specific announcements in the
budget
The sector may continue to benefit from a
global recovery and increased
discretionary spend in the US/Europe
Stronger rupee could pose a risk to
margins in the medium term
10-CAP GOODS AND
INFRASTRUCTURE/
REAL ESTATE
Focus on roads (8500 KM in FY 2015) and
allocation of Rs. 37,500 cr. (27000 cr. last
year)
Power: 10 year tax holiday extended till
March 2017
Defense: Capital outlay for defense
increased by 20% to Rs. 95,000 cr.
FDI in defense raised to 49% with Indian
management control
Development of airports in tier 1 and 2
cities via PPP route
Business Trusts to benefit the sector as
companies could monetize income
generating assets
Real Estate: REIT will be positive for the
construction/Real estate sector
Margin trading: Five smart things to know
1) Margin trading refers to buying stocks using cash borrowed from the broker using the securities purchases as collateral.
2) For instance, for a position of Rs 100, a broker may offer Rs 50 as margin funding at a specific rate of interest. The remaining Rs 50 will have to come from the investor.
3) If the stock moves up to, say, Rs 102 in 30 days, you repay Rs 50 with interest and pocket the rest. If split equally, it would mean a 24% annual return for you and your broker on an investment of Rs 50 each.
4) At an interest rate lower than the return percentage, the gains are higher for the investor. For an appreciation lower than the rate of interest, the gains are higher for the broker.
5) Margin trading can be risky. If the stock falls to Rs 98, you still have to pay the broker his Rs 50 plus interest. You lose Rs 2 along with the interest paid to the broker.
(The content on this page is courtesy Centre for Investment Education and Learning (CIEL). Contributions by Girija Gadre, Arti Bhargava and Labdhi Mehta.)
2) For instance, for a position of Rs 100, a broker may offer Rs 50 as margin funding at a specific rate of interest. The remaining Rs 50 will have to come from the investor.
3) If the stock moves up to, say, Rs 102 in 30 days, you repay Rs 50 with interest and pocket the rest. If split equally, it would mean a 24% annual return for you and your broker on an investment of Rs 50 each.
4) At an interest rate lower than the return percentage, the gains are higher for the investor. For an appreciation lower than the rate of interest, the gains are higher for the broker.
5) Margin trading can be risky. If the stock falls to Rs 98, you still have to pay the broker his Rs 50 plus interest. You lose Rs 2 along with the interest paid to the broker.
(The content on this page is courtesy Centre for Investment Education and Learning (CIEL). Contributions by Girija Gadre, Arti Bhargava and Labdhi Mehta.)
Best investment options under Section 80C to save tax
The Budget has raised the deduction limit. Here are the options in which you can invest to save tax:-
PPF
Rating: *****
The PPF is an all-time favourite investment option and the Budget has only made it more attractive by enhancing the annual investment limit to Rs 1.5 lakh. The PPF offers investors a lot of flexibility. You can open an account in a post office branch or a bank. The maximum investment of Rs1.5 lakh in a year can be done as a lump sum or as instalments on any working day of the year. Just make sure you invest the minimum Rs 500 in your PPF account in a year, otherwise you will be slapped with a nominal, but irksome, penalty of Rs 50. Though the PPF account matures in 15 years, you can extend it in blocks of five years each. The PPF is useful for risk-averse investors, self-employed professionals and those not covered by the EPF.
ELSS funds
Rating: *****
Equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) have the shortest lock-in period of three years among all the tax-saving options under Section 80C. But this should not be the most important reason for investing in this avenue. Being equity funds, these schemes can generate good returns for investors over the long term. The minimum investment in ELSS funds is very low. Though regular equity mutual funds have a minimum investment of Rs 5,000, you can put in as little as Rs 500 in an ELSS scheme. Unlike a Ulip, pension plan or an insurance policy, there is no compulsion to continue investments in subsequent years. To make most of ELSS funds, stagger your investment over a period of time instead of putting a large sum at one go.
Ulips
Rating: ****
The 2010 guidelines have made Ulips more customer-friendly. A new online Ulip launched by HDFC Life charges only 1.35 per cent for fund management. There is no other charge except for the risk cover provided by the policy. This makes the click2invest policy even cheaper than direct mutual funds. Keep in mind that a Ulip yields good results only if held for at least 10-12 years.
SCSS
Rating: ****
This assured return scheme is the best tax-saving avenue for senior citizens. However, the Rs 15 lakh investment limit somewhat curtails its utility. The interest rate is 100 basis points above the 5-year government bond yield. The interest is paid on 31 March, 30 June, 30 September and 31 December, irrespective of when you start investing.
NPS
Rating: ****
Its low-cost structure, flexibility and other investor-friendly features make the New Pension Scheme an ideal investment vehicle for retirement planning. The scheme scores high on flexibility. The minimum investment of Rs 6,000 can be invested as a lump sum or in instalments of at least Rs 500. There is no limit. The investor also decides the allocation to equity, corporate bonds and gilts. Be ready for a lot of legwork before you can buy.
Bank FDs and NSCs
Rating: ***
Don't get misled by the high interest rates offered on the 5-year bank fixed deposits. Interest income is fully taxable so the post-tax yield may not be as high as you think. In the 20 per cent and 30 per cent income tax brackets, it is not as attractive as the yield of the tax-free PPF.
Life Insurance plans
Rating: **
Though the Irda guidelines for traditional plans have made insurance policies more customer-friendly, they are still the worst way to save tax. The tax saving is only meant to reduce the cost of insurance. It is not the core objective of the policy.
Pension plans
Rating: *
The charges of pension plans offered by life insurers are significantly higher than those of the NPS. The difference can snowball into a wide gap over the long term. The other problem is that annuity income is still not tax-free, which makes pension plans rather unattractive for retirees.
PPF
Rating: *****
The PPF is an all-time favourite investment option and the Budget has only made it more attractive by enhancing the annual investment limit to Rs 1.5 lakh. The PPF offers investors a lot of flexibility. You can open an account in a post office branch or a bank. The maximum investment of Rs1.5 lakh in a year can be done as a lump sum or as instalments on any working day of the year. Just make sure you invest the minimum Rs 500 in your PPF account in a year, otherwise you will be slapped with a nominal, but irksome, penalty of Rs 50. Though the PPF account matures in 15 years, you can extend it in blocks of five years each. The PPF is useful for risk-averse investors, self-employed professionals and those not covered by the EPF.
ELSS funds
Rating: *****
Equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) have the shortest lock-in period of three years among all the tax-saving options under Section 80C. But this should not be the most important reason for investing in this avenue. Being equity funds, these schemes can generate good returns for investors over the long term. The minimum investment in ELSS funds is very low. Though regular equity mutual funds have a minimum investment of Rs 5,000, you can put in as little as Rs 500 in an ELSS scheme. Unlike a Ulip, pension plan or an insurance policy, there is no compulsion to continue investments in subsequent years. To make most of ELSS funds, stagger your investment over a period of time instead of putting a large sum at one go.
Ulips
Rating: ****
The 2010 guidelines have made Ulips more customer-friendly. A new online Ulip launched by HDFC Life charges only 1.35 per cent for fund management. There is no other charge except for the risk cover provided by the policy. This makes the click2invest policy even cheaper than direct mutual funds. Keep in mind that a Ulip yields good results only if held for at least 10-12 years.
SCSS
Rating: ****
This assured return scheme is the best tax-saving avenue for senior citizens. However, the Rs 15 lakh investment limit somewhat curtails its utility. The interest rate is 100 basis points above the 5-year government bond yield. The interest is paid on 31 March, 30 June, 30 September and 31 December, irrespective of when you start investing.
NPS
Rating: ****
Its low-cost structure, flexibility and other investor-friendly features make the New Pension Scheme an ideal investment vehicle for retirement planning. The scheme scores high on flexibility. The minimum investment of Rs 6,000 can be invested as a lump sum or in instalments of at least Rs 500. There is no limit. The investor also decides the allocation to equity, corporate bonds and gilts. Be ready for a lot of legwork before you can buy.
Bank FDs and NSCs
Rating: ***
Don't get misled by the high interest rates offered on the 5-year bank fixed deposits. Interest income is fully taxable so the post-tax yield may not be as high as you think. In the 20 per cent and 30 per cent income tax brackets, it is not as attractive as the yield of the tax-free PPF.
Life Insurance plans
Rating: **
Though the Irda guidelines for traditional plans have made insurance policies more customer-friendly, they are still the worst way to save tax. The tax saving is only meant to reduce the cost of insurance. It is not the core objective of the policy.
Pension plans
Rating: *
The charges of pension plans offered by life insurers are significantly higher than those of the NPS. The difference can snowball into a wide gap over the long term. The other problem is that annuity income is still not tax-free, which makes pension plans rather unattractive for retirees.