Thursday, July 31, 2008

Walchandnagar Industries allots equity shares



Walchandnagar Industries allots 3769310 equity shares

Walchandnagar Industries Ltd has announced that the Allotment Committee of Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on July 29, 2008 has issued and allotted 30,00,000 (Thirty Lakhs) equity shares of Rs 2/- each (including 15,00,000 Bonus equity shares) to M/s. Rodin Holdings Inc. and 7,69,310 (Seven Lakhs Sixty Nine Thousand Three Hundred and Ten) equity shares of Rs 2/- each (including 3,84,655 Bonus Equity Shares) to M/s. Olsson Holdings Inc. by way of Conversion of Warrants.

The equity shares issued as above shall rank pari-passu with the existing equity shares of the Company.

With the above allotment of shares the total promoters' holding in the Company has gone up from 50.04% to 54.99%.



NTPC Q1 net profit at Rs 1726.5 cr

State run National Thermal Power Corp today announced a net profit of Rs 1,726.53 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2008, a 27.15 per cent growth over the corresponding period a year-ago.

NTPC had a net profit of Rs 2,369.93 crore in the Q1 of FY 2007-08, it said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange.
The total income rose 6 per cent to Rs 10,256.70 crore in Q1 of FY'09, from Rs 9,687.84 crore in the corresponding period last fiscal.
The net sales rose 6.35 per cent to Rs 9,539.47 crore in the June quarter, from Rs 8,969.70 crore in the same period previous fiscal.

Shares of NTPC closed at Rs 178.45, down 3.44 per cent on the BSE.



HPCL Q1 net loss of Rs 888.12 crore


HPCL has decalred its Q1FY09 results. The company's net sales were up 59% to Rs 34749.32 crore from Rs 21881.7 crore.

Its has post net loss of Rs 888.12 crore versus loss of Rs 86.93 crore.

Highlights

* GRMs for Q1FY09 were at $15.23/bbl (Apr-Jun 2007 : $9.04/bbl) for Mumbai Refinery and $17.05/bbl (Apr-June 2007: $ 7.80/bbl) for Visakh Refinery.
* Received discounts from upstream companies to the tune of Rs 2357.38 cr Vs Rs 900.94 cr
* Received in principle nod from Fin Min for oil bonds worth Rs 5115 cr (Apr-June 2007 : Nil)
* Pay revision provision of Rs 162.94 cr



Ranbaxy Q2 net profit at Rs 23 cr


Ranbaxy Laboratories has declareed its results for the quarter ended June 2008 (Q2). The company's consolidated net profit excluding forex loss was at Rs 160.8 crore versus Rs 160.4 crore. The company's consolidated net profit including forex loss was at Rs 23 crore.

The company's Q2 consolidated net sales were at Rs 1,830 crore versus Rs 1,624 crore.

The company's Q2 standalone net sales were at Rs 1,216.9 crore versus Rs 1,014.6 crore. Its standalone net profit was at Rs 23.7 crore versus Rs 291 crore. The Global sales were at USD 440 million.



Hero Honda Q1 net profit at Rs 272 cr


Hero Honda Motors has declared its results for the quarter ended June 2008 (Q1). The company's net profit was at Rs 272 crore versus Rs 189.8 crore.The company's total income was at Rs 2,890 crore.

The company's Q1 net sales were up by 16.2% to Rs 2843.5 crore versus Rs 2447.9 crore. Its OPM were at 12% versus 10.76%.The company's Q1 margins were at 12% versus 10.76% on YoY basis. Tax incidence was at 22% versus 30% (post Uttaranchal plant launch in April 8th).



TV18 Q1 net loss at Rs 5.28 cr




Television Eighteen (TV18) has announced its first quarter numbers. It has reported net loss of Rs 5.28 crore for the quarter ended June 2008 as against profit of Rs 4.84 crore in same period of last year.
Income from operations increased at Rs 92.99 crore from Rs 68.15 crore YoY.

Income from news operations stood at Rs 75.33 crore versus Rs 57.92 crore and net profit from news operations at Rs 12.66 crore versus Rs 12.39 crore, YoY.

Web arm revenues also increased at Rs 13.15 crore from Rs 9.34 crore while net loss stood at Rs 7.79 crore versus loss of Rs 2.9 crore (YoY).(Note: Web18, which owns Moneycontrol.com and Indiaearnings.com, belongs to the Network 18 Group).



Saturday, July 26, 2008

Bliss GVS Pharma Bonus Proposal


Look at this company today! Bliss GVS Pharma was locked at 20% upper limit at Rs 46.25 on BSE after the company said its board will meet on 29 July 2008 to consider issue of bonus shares. The company has an equity capital of Rs 6.45 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1. The company operates in two segments, healthcare products and pharma products.

It’s a good jump of 20% in a single day on the bonus issue news. And that’s the reason I keep on telling you to give enough attention to the bonus issues, stock splits, rights issue updates we offer here at this blog.

Areva T&D India


Areva T&D India jumped 6% to Rs 1615 on BSE after the company said its board
will meet on 29 July 2008 to consider a 5-for-1 stock split. The company
made this announcement during trading hours today, 22 July 2008.


Areva T&D India will be a major beneficiary of the Indo-US nuclear deal if
the deal fructifies. French giant Areva, which holds 72.18% stake in Areva
T&D (as at end march 2008) is best known for its nuclear power plant and
transmission interests. It is the only company in the world that has
interests in every industry linked to nuclear power - from mining uranium to
dismantling old nuclear power plants.

The company's products and systems serve to transmit and distributed
electricity, ensure the reliability, quality and safety of energy flows.

Tricom India





Tricom India had fixed 22 July 2008 as the record date for the sub-division
of 1 equity share of Rs 10 each into 5 equity shares of Rs 2 each. Whoever
have held the shares today, would be eligible for this stock split.

On 4 July 2008, Tricom India acquired 100% interest in US based Pacific Data
Centers, Inc through its subsidiary Tricom Document Management, Inc for
$2.25 million.

Tricom India's net profit rose 13.90% to Rs 5 crore on 15.51% increase in
net sales to Rs 12.14 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007.

The company provides non-voice related information technology enabled
services (ITES) - business process outsourcing (BPO) services for global
businesses.

GTL












GTL BSE code: 500160
GTL has aroused interest among investors after it declared the results for
Q1FY09 and announced a dividend of 30 per cent. The focus of GTL's business
model is on networking business. Anticipating great potential of this
counter, brokers are confident it would fetch good returns for investors. A
good momentum is on the cards in the near term. This is evident from the
high deliverable quantity, with an upward movement in price and hefty
volume. The movement on the technical chart also supports the optimism.
Investors can take short or medium exposure.

Exide


Exide, which we recommended first in November 2003. The basis for our recommendation on the stock was a belief that the recovery in auto demand, which started in September 2001, shall remain robust across segments over the ensuing years. And that Exide being the largest auto battery company in the country would consequently benefit. Out positive view on the stock also stemmed from an expected pickup in replacement demand for auto batteries, which stood out to be the case. The rest is, as they say, history. Since our recommendation, the stock has multiplied 5 times, from Rs 14 to Rs 74.

Titan


Titan ,the stock in July 2003, the company was in dire straits. It was also undergoing a restructuring exercise with a target of increasing earnings at a fast pace. The company's strong brand equity in the domestic watches market and the prospects of strong growth in the jewellery business accompanied by improving margins made the stock an attractive proposition. Since then, the stock price performance tracked the company's growth and multiplied 16 times, from Rs 67 to Rs 1,070; all in a span of 5 years.

Asian Paints


Asian Paints as early as April 2002, when the company was still in the initial phase of revamping its marketing and branding exercise. Positive view on the company was supported by expectations of a strong pickup in exterior paint demand (both for first time and replacement uses) over the next few years and Asian Paints' rising clout in the market on the back of its quality products and distribution reach. These competitive advantages, it was believed, had the potential to take the company on to a high growth trajectory in the future. And it did just that. During the period FY02 and FY08, the company has grown its sales and profits at compounded annual rates of 16% and 22% respectively, which is by all standards an outstanding performance. And the stock price followed; galloping from Rs 213 to Rs 1,270, a return of nearly 500%!

TECH MAHINDRA buy


TECH MAHINDRA BSE code: 532755

Tech Mahindra is one of the leading IT companies, providing IT solutions to
the telecom industry in India and abroad. After a listless phase, the scrip recently gained momentum. Despite the looming slowdown in the IT sector, it
is expected to post a good result in Q1FY09. The broking community is said
to be taking interest in the counter, which has business linkages in
European countries. This gives it a hedge against the current spell of
slowdown in the US market. The recent spurt in volumes, which the counter
has witnessed, are likely to continue. Therefore, investors can take
exposure in this counter with a short to medium-term.

Buy Call: TUTIS TECHNO


Being a leading player in IT and BPO solutions, it is making news these days. Tutis Technologies is the parent company of the Vishal IT, with a 51.51 per cent stake, which is going to tap the primary market. This IPO
will unlock the value for the Tutis Technologies, considering the premium,
which Vishal IT is demanding from the market. Looking at potential for the
value appreciation in the counter, investors, as well as broking firms, are
taking interest. On the verge of an IPO, the parent company is expected to
gain momentum. The price has moved already from Rs 13.76 to Rs 18 in the
last few days. It's a good bet for short-term risk-takers.

Markets stay weak on selling pressure


Intense selling in blue chips pushed the market down further in early afternoon trade. Two index heavyweights Reliance Industries and ICICI Bank tumbled. An overnight sharp fall in US stocks and rise in oil prices weighed on the Indian market today. Healthcare and IT stocks hovered in positive terrain bucking the weak market trend.

US stocks declined sharply on Thursday, 24 July 2008, after a report showing yet another drop in US home sales prompted investors to take profits in financial shares, which had rallied over the past week. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 283.10 points, or 2.43%, to close at 11,349.28. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid 29.65 points, or 2.31%, to 1,252.54, while the Nasdaq Composite Index shed 45.77 points, or 1.97%, to 2,280.11.

Asian market, which opened before Indian markets, declined further. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, China and Singapore were down by between 1.13% to 1.97%.

At 12:20 IST, the 30-share BSE Sensex was down 425.8 points or 2.88% at 14,351.20. The index lost 461.43 points at the days low of 14,315.58, hit in mid-morning trade. Sensex lost 292.62 points at the day's high of 14,484.39, hit in early trade.

The broader based S&P CNX Nifty slipped 95.05 points or 2.14% at 4338.50.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was down 0.60% to 5,547.65 and the BSE Small-Cap index was down 0.35% to 6,772.42.

The market breadth was weak on BSE with 873 shares advancing as compared to 1401 that declined. 79 remained unchanged.

Bharti Airtel (up 1.85% at Rs 812.15), Hindalco Industries (up 1.58% at Rs 154), Hindustan Unilever (up 1.38% at Rs 231), Reliance Communication (up 1.02% at Rs 506.40), were the top gainers from the Sensex pack.

HDFC Bank (down 7.18% at Rs 1127), Housing Development Finance Corporation (down 7.21% at Rs 2185), Reliance Infrastructure (down 3.51% at Rs 991), Jaiprakash Associates (down 3.16% at Rs 165.75), and DLF (down 3.32% at Rs 490.35), were the top losers from the Sensex pack.

Indias largest private sector bank by assets ICICI Bank slumped 8.38% to Rs 665.90.

Indias largest private sector firm by market capitalization and oil refiner Reliance Industries slipped 5.51% to Rs 2,179.45. Strong refining margins helped Reliance Industries (RIL) post 13.2% growth in net profit to Rs 4,110 crore on 41% growth in turnover to Rs 41,805 crore in Q1 June 2008 over Q1 June 2007. Nearly 95% of the increase in turnover was due to increase in prices, with volume increases accounting for the rest, said a press release from the company.

Healthcare stocks rose on defensive buying strategy by investors. Piramal Healthcare (up 3.81% at Rs 309), Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (up 3.20% at Rs 681), Sterlite Biotech (up 2.80% at Rs 205.90), Divi's Laboratories (up 1.72% at Rs 1,410), and Ranbaxy Laboratories (up 0.28% at Rs 468), gained. The BSE Healthcare index was up 0.21% at 4,192.50.

RIL drops after Q1 results


Reliance Industries declined 2.67% to Rs 2245 at 9:55 IST on BSE after it reported 13.2% rise in net profit to Rs 4110 crore on 40.8% increase in net sales to Rs 41579 crore in Q1 June 2008 over Q1 June 2007.

The results were more or less in line with market expectations

The company announced the results after trading hours yesterday, 24 July 2008.

Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex was down 434.06 points, or 2.94%, to 14,342.95. The market retreated on weak global cues. US stocks declined sharply on Thursday, 24 July 2008, after a report showing yet another drop in US home sales prompted investors to take profits in financial shares, which had rallied over the past week

On BSE, 4,267 shares were traded in the counter. The scrip had an average daily volume of 11.34 lakh shares in the past one quarter.

The stock hit a high of Rs 289.95 and a low of Rs 2245 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 3252.10 on 15 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 1700 on 17 August 2007.

The large-cap company had outperformed the market over the past one month till 24 July 2008, gaining 8.02% compared to the Sensex’s return of 3.92%. It had also outperformed the market in the past one quarter, declining 12.11% compared to Sensex’s decline of 13.72%.

The company has an equity capital of Rs 1453.65 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 2245 discounts its Q1 June 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 113.07, by a PE multiple of 19.85.

Nearly 95% of the increase in turnover was due to increase in prices, with volume increases accounting for the rest, said a press release of Reliance Industris (RIL) on Q1 results.

BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) markets

EVERY investor should think like a professional, says asset-allocation specialist Tim Farrelly: which means making emerging markets -- especially the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) markets -- a part of your portfolio.

But whether this means buying a specialist emerging-markets fund or a global fund depends on valuation.

"Global fund managers are well and truly on to this theme, they are increasing their weights to BRIC markets within global equities.

"Generally speaking it's a good idea to let your global managers decide on the emerging-markets allocation. Maybe, when emerging markets' P/Es look reasonable, it's time to look at a separate weighting."

Typically, says Farrelly, leaving the allocation to the global fund managers results in a lower exposure to BRIC than if you had made a separate allocation to BRIC.

But he says on valuation grounds, that protects the investor.

"To me, that's been entirely appropriate in a world where you had to pay 25 times to get into China, when at the same time you could pay 11 times to get into the UK."

While BRIC economic growth is a "hugely important" investment theme, Farrelly says investors should "never get carried away" enough to buy into a market that is becoming over-valued.

"The attraction of emerging markets is that you're buying high-risk, high-growth assets, both to give your portfolio good diversification and make a lot of money.

"But buying potentially high-growth assets at high prices is not such a good idea: if things go well, you'll make as much money as you would have investing elsewhere, but you've added a ton of risk.

"You have to make sure you're buying at attractive prices."

For example, in March this year, says Farrelly, emerging markets would certainly have given you diversification -- but it would have cost too much.

"Back then, they were so expensive compared to other assets, I wouldn't have wanted to touch them.

"Price/earnings (P/E) ratios in India and in China were about 28 and 25 respectively.

"Part of that thinking professionally as an investor is understanding when you're being asked to pay too much for something -- and you were then."

This is a different question to the strength of the investment theme, he says. "Back in the tech-boom days, in 1999-2000, most of what was said about technology was true -- it was going to transform the world -- but the problem was that the companies involved weren't worth 100 times earnings.

"People paid far too much. The BRIC theme sounds similar. The basic story is right -- we are going to see massive economic growth out of those countries, particularly India and China -- but the second question is, are we going to make money in these stocks? That's an entirely different question."

Because emerging markets are riskier than developed markets, Farrelly says investors should always look to buy them at a discount.

"Investors should have been asking 'can these companies grow their earnings fast enough to justify paying 28 times earnings?'

"Historically, when you pay 28 times for anything, you lose money. In March, you were paying a massive premium.

"Now, those markets have had a lot of that premium stripped out -- they are down to P/Es of 16-18 times."

Although India and China have "come off more than the Australian and US markets", says Farrelly, they are still more expensive than most other markets. "That's because people perceive the earnings growth prospects to be so strong. The real question is, are the growth prospects really there? "If you're satisfied that they are, then in July 2008, the BRIC markets look a whole lot better than they did in March 2008." Exactly the same thinking should be applied to other emerging markets, he says.

"Take the MENA (Middle East/North Africa) region. Apparently, that is the next hot area in emerging markets, and it may well be.

"Because I tend to focus on what are valuations and how fast can earnings grow, I'm looking at whether you can buy Middle East stocks at 10-11 times earnings. "If you can, good idea. There is an enormous amount of money sloshing around there in some of the MENA economies, and if you can buy at those prices, fantastic."

MENA as the next BRIC is problematic, says Macquarie-Globalis' Sosa. "The theme has picked up steam because the high oil price is obviously good for oil-producing nations, and most of the best-performed equity markets in the world over the last 12 months come from the oil-producing regions of the Gulf. (Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Egypt were all in the top ten world stock markets for the year to June 30, with Tunisia coming in at number 11.)

"The Gulf countries and their infrastructure spending is a story that I like a lot, I believe that these are moderate Arab countries that have tremendous potential to become financial centres and the like, but they simply don't have enough people to be the next BRIC," says Sosa. "The biggest issue is that the largest Gulf country, Saudi Arabia, is quite an unstable place.

"That doesn't diminish the fact that Dubai and Abu Dhabi and Qatar will become major financial and media centres for the Middle East.

Why high-flyers are unwilling to flock to emerging markets


Would your next career move be to a job in Europe, America or the emerging markets?

If you are attracted to working for a new player on the world business scene then you are in a minority. The reputations of key emerging markets, including Russia, Eastern Europe and Asia, discourage the best talent from working there, according to Hill & Knowlton’s annual Corporate Reputation Watch, a survey of MBA candidates at leading business schools.

Paul Taaffe, chairman and chief executive of Hill & Knowlton, says: “MBAs graduating in a postEnron world have a strong preference for the companies and countries with the best reputations. Some 86 per cent of our sample rated corporate culture and the working environment as extremely important and just 18 per cent were interested in working in Russia or Eastern Europe.”

Taaffe says that the priority for MBA graduates is to enhance their CVs and finances. “Working in more mature markets, at least initially, is more attractive because they can build their reputation and salary levels, which can then be translated into an emerging market.”



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Emerging markets are no haven from woe

The Brics are not decoupling from the global economy, they are crumbling, their stock markets tumbling like dominoes as the woe of Wall Street's bankers infects the world with gloom.

The Pollyannas said that it couldn't happen, that the world was somehow different, that emerging markets were not just saplings but giant oaks - billions of dynamic new consumers would shrug off the burden of uncreditworthy and lazy Yankees and Europeans.

The truth is out, if you believe markets: the Shanghai stock market plunged 7 per cent yesterday, adding to Monday's 5 per cent fall. Trading was suspended in Bombay as the BSE Sensex index dived almost 10percent. At its Tuesday close, the Indian market had lost a fifth of its value since the Sensex peaked on January 8.

Funds are evaporating - market players expect a reduction in foreign investment, the big driver of growth in the Bric economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China. Slower economies mean smaller profits for stock market investors. Meanwhile, the risk honeymoon enjoyed by the Brics - markets in Russia and China surged on regardless during the initial months of the credit crisis - is over. Investors are fleeing high-yielding Asian bonds in search of safety. In London, the long gilt future surged to a record.



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HSBC shifts strategy on emerging markets

HSBC made a perceptible shift in strategy yesterday in the face of the assault by rebel shareholder Knight Vinke, setting itself a new target of making 60 per cent of profits from emerging markets.

Previously the global bank said it was aiming to shape itself so that 50 per cent of profits came from emerging markets and 50 per cent from developed markets.

Outlining the strategic tweak to institutional shareholders yesterday, Stephen Green, the chairman, said the bank was now “trending towards” the 60-40 figure, though he set no date for arrival there.

Knight Vinke has argued that HSBC squandered its emerging markets heritage when it started making big acquisitions in the lower-growth economies of Europe and the US, and is calling for an independent strategic review.

The sub-prime mortgage lending disaster in the US is propelling HSBC towards a greater emerging markets bias as US profits dwindle: the profits split has already changed from 42-58 in the first half of 2006, to 51-49 in the first half of 2007.

HSBC insisted it had not misled shareholders over the terms of its 2005 bonus scheme, which is due to pay million-pound bonuses to top executives next March in spite of pedestrian profits growth.

However, instititional investors contacted by The Times admitted they had not spotted the peculiarity at the heart of the bonus scheme when it was presented to them in 2005. They failed to grasp the effect of the complex formula which made the performance hurdles much less taxing than a casual glance suggests.

“We didn’t look carefully enough at the worked example,” one major institutional investor said. “The full picture was there if you looked hard enough but it was buried. It certainly could have been communicated better.”

Knight Vinke says shareholders were misled and has a legal opinion from Lord Grabiner, QC, that the scheme is therefore void and cannot pay out without a fresh mandate from shareholders.

HSBC presented the scheme to 50 of its largest shareholders and to the Association of British Insurers in early 2005 ahead of the annual meeting at which it was formally approved. The scheme was presented as paying out bonuses partly based on “absolute growth in earnings per share” over the three years to 2007.

But fine reading revealed triple and double counting of growth in some years. Growth was defined as growth in year one over the base year, plus growth in year one and two over the base year, plus growth in year one, two and three over the base year.

Knight Vinke renewed its complaint yesterday, saying: “It is absolutely clear to us that many of HSBC’s largest shareholders were not made aware of the full details of the scheme, which permits large performance-related payments to be made for no perfomance at all.”

It called on HSBC to publish the documents and worked examples used in 2005 to explain the scheme and said the bank should resubmit the plan to shareholders for a vote at next year’s annual meeting.

On present expectations, the scheme is predicted to pay out £1.2 million to Stephen Green, the chairman, £1 million to Mike Geoghegan, the chief executive, and £750,000 to Douglas Flint, the finance director.

Knight Vinke, an activist fund manager with the backing of two major Californian pension funds Calpers and Calstrs, is pressing for boardroom and strategic reforms at HSBC. It is suggesting that HSBC either ditches its investment banking division or bulks up by merging with a larger, better positioned investment bank. It also says the bank could create shareholder value by demerging its Asian businesses and listing and headquartering that division in Shanghai.



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Vodafone has made good calls in emerging markets

If there were any doubt about the credit crunch hitting the high street, the grisly headlines of the past few weeks have firmly dispelled it. In such a turbulent financial environment, established stocks such as BT are traditionally regarded as a safe haven.

But investors with an eye for telecoms might do better to turn towards the mobile sector and its flagship player, Vodafone.

Likes its landline peer the group, which boasts 241 million global subscribers, offers the reassurance of ‘sticky’ customers: While its average revenue spend - currently around £24 a month in the UK - may slow if a finanical downturn does take hold, it would require nothing short of financial Armageddon for most of us to give up our mobile subscriptions.

But while BT struggles to convince many investors that its ambitions for serving global corporates as a multinational IT player can be pulled off – it has yet been unable to report progress towards a 15 per cent profit margin target for its Global Services division – Vodafone has two convincing growth paths opening up to it.

The first is in data. Revenues from this area - the downloading of music clips, e-mailing and so on – surged nearly 50 per cent in the first half to £1 billion. Data revenues now account for 7.3 per cent of the group’s total Western European revenues.

Admittedly the uptick has come seven years later than expected. It also does little to justify the £6 billion splashed out by the mobile group on it 3G licence during frenzied bidding at the height of the dot-com boom.

It does however mark a turning point in Vodafone’s future prospects, giving an indication that consumers are finally banishing their reluctance to spend on more lucrative services instead of just calling and texting.

In the current environment the group’s diversified geographic portfolio and critically its exposure to markets outside of the UK and US is also a strong plus point While a foothold in such markets does not come cheap – it splashed out $11.1 billion for a 67 per cent stake in Hutchison Essar, India’s fourth-biggest mobile operator, earlier this year – Vodafone has presented convincing evidence of a significant payback.

In contrast to the 2 per cent revenue growth in Europe at the half year, revenues in Vodafone’s emerging markes regions jumped an impressive 39.9 per cent.

Vodacom, in which Vodafone is desperately seeking to boost its 50 per cent stake, recently reported an envious 15.1 per cent growth in profit – the kind of double-digit growth associated in the UK with the mobile heyday of the late 1990s.

Of course emerging markets do not come without risk– a combination of mischevious interfering by rival bidders and local bureaucracy saw the Hutchison Essar deal drag on for many more months than expected.

But far from aggressively leaping in to such markets as the buccannering Vodafone of past days might, the group has also illustrated an ability to adapt sensitively to the different types of environments it is presented with.

It recently announced, for example, plans to squeeze value out of the India deal through a network-sharing alliance with local rivals. including Bharti, The deal will significantly cut the cost of rolling out its network across the country’s vast landmass.

Less reassuring in the current climate is the group’s exposure to the US. – through its 45 per cent holding in Verizon Wireless, the country’s second-biggest mobile operator.

So far at least though, the decision to remain in the market – despite strong calls from some investors to pull out – has been vindicated.

In the 2006-2007 financial year alone, the carrier enjoyed a 15 per cent increase in its customer base to 62 million, and a 17 per cent increase in its revenues.

Analysts’ estimates now put a value on Vodafone's holding in the business of $54 billion (£26 billion), up from $38 billion a year ago.

The icing on the cake – the reinstatement of the dividend, which it stopped issuing two years ago – remains, however, contentious. Payments are not expected to resume until 2009.

Like BT, Vodafone has displayed strong resilience. Just one year ago investors concerns about an apparent lack of strategy and a flailing share price saw those holding 15 per cent of the stock fail to back its chief executive, Arun Sarin, at the group’s annual meeting.

The sniping – both externally and internally amidst the group’s board members – has long ended. The group, for now at least, is managing a careful balancing act between its traditional Western markets and the emerging regions into which it is piling in.

The problems presented by Europe are being manned well by Vittorio Colao – who is also regarded as a potential future successor to Mr Sarin.

At 183.20p, up 29 per cent in the year, the group trades at 16 times next year’s earnings.

Although the shares can no longer be called cheap, Vodafone’s strong cash generation and defensive qualities mean they should be held onto.



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Guide to emerging markets

Guide to emerging markets

Giant hamburger advertising Burger King on Nanjing Road Shanghai China

Emerging markets are no longer an exotic afterthought for most investors.

Until recently, most financial advisers would tell clients that they should not put more than 5 per cent of their money into the sector. But that advice is starting to look outdated, as emerging markets, which are made up of the world's developing nations, already make up 11 per cent of the world stock market index.

The history

When the term emerging market was coined in 1986 by the International Finance Corporation, a subsidiary of the World Bank, there were only six such markets that were open to foreign investors. They were Mexico, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Thailand the the Philippines. Today there are more than 50, ranging from Cambodia to Brazil.

Performance

One of the things which has catapulted the sector to prominence is the outstanding showing of emerging markets funds. Global emerging markets funds have, on average, doubled investors’ money over three years and trebled it over five - better returns than those achieved by any other sector.

Funds that are basically emerging markets funds also dominate other sectors. The top three Asia Pacific funds are all China funds, while the top ten in the specialist sector contains four Latin American funds and one Russian fund.

Future prospects

When you look at the demographics, it’s not hard to see why investors are so excited about emerging markets. They already contain 80 per cent of the world’s population and create 50 per cent of the world’s gross domestic product (GDP).

By 2050 the BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China will all be among the world’s half-dozen biggest, along with the US and Japan. China is expected to have overtaken the US to become the most powerful economy on earth.

The BRIC economies

All are enjoying strong economic growth, with China leading the way at an annual rate of nearly 10 per cent. It is benefiting from the Olympics effect, huge spending on infrastructure and has a fast-growing middle class. India, too, has a large and growing middle class and some world-class companies. It is also starting to spend large sums on infrastructure.

Russia’s wealth has soared thanks to higher oil and gas prices and is now starting to feed through to domestic spending. Brazil, meanwhile, is enjoying a boom in agriculture and commodities as it strives to meet massive demand from countries such as China.

However, there are negatives to consider. There are potentially damaging splits between the rapidly modernising cities and the rural hinterland in all four BRIC nations and there are concerns over the future political direction of Russia and China in particular. There is also a danger that some emerging economy stock markets have overheated after rising very far, very fast. For example, the Chinese stock market has fallen by about 50 per cent from its peak last year.

The frontier economies

Countries such as Botswana, Latvia and Panama are now part of the latest wave of economies to appear on the radar of emerging markets funds. Not as well known or well developed as mature emerging markets such as Singapore or Hong Kong, these frontier markets are the latest high-risk, high-reward opportunity.

Ways to invest in emerging markets

The best way in is through an emerging markets fund or investment trust. There are now several dozen to choose from, as well as more specialist regional funds, such as Latin American funds, or single-country funds, such as those investing in China or India. Perhaps the best known, as well as the oldest, is the Templeton Emerging Markets investment trust.

However, remember that investing in emerging markets is high-risk and sharp short-term falls in value can take place.



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Citigroup Unravels as Reed Regrets Universal Model (Update2)

By Lisa Kassenaar

July 21 (Bloomberg) -- Vikram Pandit walks through the white stone Mexico City headquarters of Grupo Financiero Banamex SA, past Diego Rivera's 1942 Calla Lily Vendor, and into a steep, narrow auditorium for a town hall meeting with Citigroup Inc. bankers.

It's Jan. 30, and Pandit is six weeks into running the biggest U.S. financial services company. He's just spent the day talking with Manuel Medina-Mora, chief executive officer of Banamex, which New York-based Citigroup bought in 2001. Pandit, 51, born in Nagpur, India, is on a world tour of Citi offices that's also taking him to South Korea and Poland.

Now, the Citi CEO is facing dozens of executives in rows of bright-red upholstered chairs. One stands up and asks the new boss if he'll change the bank's Latin American strategy, according to people who were there. ``It's up to him,'' says Pandit, pointing to Medina-Mora.

The Mexican executive offers Pandit, the novice CEO, something that's in short supply for Citi these days: a sliver of good news. Banamex profits doubled from 2002, the first full year the bank was part of Citi, through last year. Pandit says the Mexican bank is a model of what he wants Citi to become.

It's a one-stop bank, where some of Mexico's largest companies -- tequila maker Casa Cuervo SA is one -- do all their business, including currency hedges and stock and bond deals. Banamex also manages their owners' personal fortunes and handles their employee paychecks.

Profits in Latam

Medina-Mora, 58, points out that Latin America represented 6 percent of Citi's assets and 15 percent of its profits in the 12 months ended in June 2007. In the first half of this year, the Latin American division earned $1.85 billion.

Little else looks good at Citi these days. The company, founded as the City Bank of New York in 1812, is mired in a crisis that toppled Pandit's predecessor, Charles Prince, and has prompted $54.6 billion in writedowns and credit costs, according to Bloomberg data. That includes about $10 billion to increase reserves for future bad loans.

The bank racked up $17.4 billion in losses in the nine months ended on June 30 -- including $7.6 billion since Pandit took over in December. Citi has had to go hat-in-hand to Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Singapore for infusions of capital. Since mid- 2007, 16,000 Citi jobs have been eliminated.

The bank made some of the biggest bets in the subprime lending debacle -- and absorbed some of the biggest losses. It has had to bail out at least nine off-balance-sheet investment funds in the past year, including seven structured investment vehicles, or SIVs, holding $45 billion of securities. And defaults are rising. Consumer loans more than 90 days past due rose 62 percent to $14 billion during the year ended on June 30.

Behemoth

The behemoth that Pandit heads -- the biggest credit card company, the second-biggest wealth manager, the biggest corporate securities underwriter -- is likely to suffer well into 2009 as the global economy quavers. Its shares fell 62.5 percent in the 12 months ended on July 18.

William Smith, whose New York-based SAM Advisors LLC owns about 80,000 Citi shares, says the once-mighty conglomerate that Sanford ``Sandy'' Weill assembled over 20 years should be broken up and auctioned off. He plans to spend the next year organizing activist shareholders.

``The businesses are absolutely beautiful, but they've been suffocated,'' Smith says. Citi is bloated and mismanaged, he says. The company employed 375,000 people at the end of 2007, 48,000 more than 12 months earlier, due mostly to acquisitions. That means it took on the equivalent of the entire staff of Morgan Stanley in a year when credit markets seized up after June.

Cost Cutting

Whether Pandit can keep Citigroup intact depends on his ability to curb new losses and push up the stock price. Within the Citi bureaucracy, he has moved swiftly to redraw lines of authority, cut costs and eliminate redundancies in the bank's vast network of branches and offices.

``We are reorganizing this place,'' says Pandit, who worked at Morgan Stanley for 22 years before leaving to start a hedge fund that was bought by Citi in 2007. He holds four degrees from Columbia University in New York, including a Ph.D. in finance. ``When you go through the events that we've gone through, it crystallizes people's thinking,'' he says. ``They say, 'You know what? We are ready to do the right thing -- whatever it is -- and we are ready for a change.'''

As for the shares, the new CEO says misery loves company. ``We are in an industry transitioning from a very unusual time,'' Pandit says, sitting in his corner office at 399 Park Avenue in midtown Manhattan. ``And the fact is that Citi is no longer an outlier in terms of where the stock is.''

Stock Drop

The stock closed at $19.35 on July 18, down 34 percent for the year. That compares with a 42 percent drop in the Standard & Poor's 500 Financials Index. Rival JPMorgan Chase & Co., which also blends retail and investment banking, was down 8.3 percent this year as of July 18.

Some investors think Citigroup stock is a steal at current prices. Robert Olstein, chairman of Olstein Capital Management LP in Purchase, New York, has added more than 2 million shares to his portfolio since October. In mid-July, he bought the stock at $16.50, he says, putting his average purchase price at about $30.

``Citi is not disappearing,'' says Olstein. ``We're people who look out two to three years, not two to three days. We think the stock is at ridiculous prices.''

Still, Olstein says Pandit may write off billions more in bad loans in quarters to come. ``There are some land mines here, but I've made my bet,'' he says.

`Citi Has to Exist'

Likewise, Peter Sorrentino, senior portfolio manager at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati, says Citi's diverse sources of income mean the bank will forge on.

``Citi has to exist, or something like it will take its place,'' he says. ``But if this hysteria continues, you could see it as a single-digit stock before it comes back, sad to say.'' His firm, which manages $16.7 billion, owns 600,000 Citi shares.

Pandit has been working hard to keep the single digits at bay. Since December, he has raised more than $40 billion in capital -- including $6.9 billion from the Government of Singapore Investment Corp., $5.6 billion from the Kuwait Investment Authority and $4.9 billion via a new share issue. Buyers of a private January sale of preferred shares included Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia, Citi's biggest shareholder, and Weill.

The sales bolstered Citigroup's Tier 1 capital ratio, a gauge of a bank's ability to absorb losses, to 8.8 percent -- up from 7.1 percent in the final quarter of 2007. Tier 1 capital on June 30 was 8.7 percent.

Cutting the Dividend

In January, Pandit cut the company's dividend by 41 percent to 32 cents a share, saving about $4.4 billion a year. Pandit has also promised to pare $500 billion from a balance sheet that ballooned by 45 percent, to $2.2 trillion, from 2005 to '07. The bank will jettison some of its less-lucrative loans, write down more nonperforming assets and put some subsidiaries on the market, he says.

On July 11, Citigroup agreed to sell its German consumer bank to Credit Mutuel Group of France for 4.9 billion euros ($7.7 billion). Citi is likely to cut tens of thousands more jobs before the end of 2009, according to a person familiar with the situation.

In addition, Pandit is revamping Citi's far-flung international banking empire, which encompasses 106 countries and accounted for more than half of its $81.7 billion revenue in 2007. Under Prince, Pandit says, Citi pushed financial products, largely designed in New York, through narrow channels to clients around the world. For example, each of Citi in Poland's five divisions -- consumer, corporate, commercial, investment banking and private banking -- reported separately back to New York.

Regional CEOs

In some locations, retail and corporate branches have been operating across the street from one another with little effort at coordination, says Shirish Apte, Citi's new head for Central and Eastern Europe.

Pandit in March changed Citi's product-based model to one relying on regional CEOs, who organize bank operations in their parts of the globe. In addition to Apte, who handled the company's acquisition of Warsaw-based Bank Handlowy in 2000, Medina-Mora will put his ideas in practice from Mexico to Brazil, Chile and Peru.

London-based William Mills is now in charge of Western Europe, the Middle East and Africa, which posted $11.4 billion in revenue last year, down 21 percent from 2006. Ajay Banga, who ran the international consumer business, has moved to Hong Kong to oversee the Asia-Pacific region, which brought in $18.8 billion in 2007, up 36 percent from a year earlier.

Morgan Stanley Vets

In New York, Pandit has hired a new crew, many of them veterans of Morgan Stanley and Old Lane Partners LP, the hedge fund he founded in 2006. John Havens, Pandit's closest colleague, is now in charge of investment banking and trading -- the unit that has suffered the brunt of the bank's losses. Havens, who turns 52 in September, says he and Pandit had adjoining offices for more than 15 years.

``He can finish my sentences, and I can finish his,'' Havens says.

Citigroup said today that vice chairman Michael Klein, an investment banker who has run units including trading and global banking since 2004, will leave to ``pursue other opportunities.'' Klein, 44, was named chairman of the institutional clients group and a company vice chairman when Havens was put in charge of the institutional clients group.

Redundant Networks

Terri Dial, 58, a former Wells Fargo & Co. executive, now oversees U.S. retail banking and consumer finance and will revamp the bank's global consumer strategy. Brian Leach, 49, a Morgan Stanley vet, is the new chief risk officer.

Don Callahan, 52, who once worked in marketing for International Business Machines Corp., is the chief administrative officer and has been charged with streamlining the bank's technology requirements.

Citigroup's worldwide computer networks are massively redundant, the result of the bank's failure to integrate scores of acquisitions, Callahan says.

The team is well aware of the stream of criticism from analysts and investors, they say.

Shutting Out the Noise

``There is noise on the outside, but we are not fixated on the opinion of the day,'' says Sallie Krawcheck, 43, Citi's head of global wealth management and one of the few upper-tier holdovers from the Prince regime. ``We go in to meetings, we put the books down; here we go. There isn't a lot of glittering Bonfire of the Vanities stuff going on around here'' -- a reference to the 1987 novel by Tom Wolfe that glamorizes, and satirizes, the lives of Wall Street bond traders.

Krawcheck's unit includes research, 14,600 Smith Barney financial advisers and Citi's private bank. The division had $1.6 trillion in assets under management as of March 31.

Pandit & Co. see a part of Citigroup's future in its past. In May, the CEO revived a variation of Citi's 1970s tag line ``The Citi Never Sleeps,'' which originally referred to the bank's then innovative network of New York automated teller machines. The revised slogan, ``Citi Never Sleeps,'' is now featured in the company's advertising campaigns worldwide.

Pandit is reading histories of the bank dating to the turn of the 20th century and watching videotapes of the late Walter Wriston, Citibank's CEO from 1967 to 1984.

History Lesson

In his office, he opens a black, clothbound book, one of 11 volumes lined up on the shelf behind his desk. It's National City Bank's 1912 annual report. Pandit pauses at the simple, one-page balance sheet.

``Look at that -- assets were already more than a billion dollars,'' he says. The books were sent to Pandit shortly after he got the job by John Reed, who succeeded Wriston as CEO. The two men have been talking, particularly about how Reed handled the banking crisis that coincided with the 1990-91 recession and real estate downturn.

Pandit's actions so far only scratch at what's needed to overhaul a bank buckling under its own weight, says SAM's Smith. Citi needs to cut at least 45,000 jobs right away to boost efficiency, he says. The bank's net revenue per employee was about $218,000 in 2007. That compares with $395,000 at JPMorgan Chase and $1.5 million at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Rubin's Value

The new CEO also needs to retire more of the high-priced old guard, Smith says. That includes Robert Rubin, a former U.S. Treasury secretary under President Bill Clinton and, before that, a co-chairman of Goldman Sachs. Rubin joined Citi in 1999 as what he called a consigliere to co-CEOs Reed and Weill. He has since been paid more than $150 million.

Smith asks where Rubin was when Citi was buying billions in assets backed by subprime loans. CEO Prince, a lawyer with no capital markets background, could have used some advice, he says.

``Rubin is an embarrassment,'' he concludes.

Rubin, in an interview, says he has never had a role in the bank's daily operations. He's been talking with Pandit about his future at the bank, he says. ``I've told Vikrman that I will remain active with him and the place, he says. ``And I will work with clients, which I like to do.''

As for staying out of the bank's trading business, Rubin says it's wrong for senior managers to tell people what to do. ``The only ones who are really going to know what's in those books are the people who run the trading operation and the people in independent risk management,'' he says. ``You can't know if you aren't there. It's really a full-time job.''

Novice CEO

The credit crisis now gripping global markets was missed by almost everyone, Rubin says. ``What almost nobody saw was the confluence of factors that turned out to be something of a perfect storm -- low interest rates, reaching for yield, the increased use of financial engineering, and triple-A ratings for certain subprime securities,'' he says.

Pandit himself is being scrutinized for his low-key, professorial style and dearth of experience in consumer banking, the source of more than half of the bank's profit, says Richard Bove, an analyst at Lutz, Florida-based Ladenburg Thalmann Financial Services Inc.

``He's never run anything like this ever before in his life,'' Bove says. ``He can't put it all together in less than five years. He's learning on the job.''

Even as he tries to reorganize Citi, Pandit has holes to plug in the bank's leaky hull. Citi is sitting on billions more in mortgage loans and other securities whose value may have to be written down. In addition, the bank lists about $1 trillion in assets that aren't currently on its balance sheet, including $363 billion in unconsolidated ``variable interest entities'' and $760 billion in ``qualified special purpose entities,'' according to regulatory filings.

New accounting regulations may force Citi to put some of them on its books.

New Writedowns

On July 18, Citi said it lost $2.5 billion in the second quarter, including $7.2 billion in new writedowns related to subprime assets and debt linked to bond insurers. The bank's credit costs, including charge-offs related to bad loans and money set aside for future bad loans, jumped $4.5 billion from a year earlier.

In the investment bank, which posted a loss of $2 billion, revenue was $2.9 billion, down 71 percent from a year earlier. In the consumer bank, which has 8,500 branches worldwide -- just 859 of them in the U.S. -- revenue was $7.8 billion, about the same as last year. That unit posted a $700 million loss.

In global credit cards, a division run by Steven Freiberg that Pandit created by combining U.S. and international card operations in March, profit was $467 million, down 56 percent from a year earlier. Revenue rose 3 percent to $5.5 billion.

In Krawcheck's Global Wealth Management arm, net income declined 21 percent to $405 million. Revenue rose 4 percent to $3.3 billion.

`Rough Ride'

Citi Chief Financial Officer Gary Crittenden says problems related to souring loans will resolve themselves over time. What keeps him up at night, he says, is the crumbling U.S. economy.

``The country's in for a rough ride and that's going to make our job harder,'' he says. The crisis has been feeding on itself. As long as defaults on loans are rising, he says, the bank will have to curtail issuing new credit.

Crittenden says Citigroup is already turning away executives asking for corporate loans, unless they already do business with the bank. ``Three or four years from now, you will generally find that banks have fewer client relationships, but they will be deeper,'' he says.

Smith says that one of Citigroup's biggest liabilities is that it's the archetype of a failed model: the universal bank.

``We have 10 years and 41 quarters of failed performance at Citi to show us the universal bank doesn't work,'' he says.

Pandit embraces his multipurpose bank and says he will resist all calls to dismantle it. ``What we've got here is a truly global universal bank, with a set of assets and a footprint that is hard to replicate,'' he says.

Accessing the World

He cites Mexico's Banamex as an example. Banamex is a local bank, he says; yet, the fact that it's part of Citi allows it to invest for its customers anywhere. ``They can access the world through the Citi network. People talk about it; we can actually do it.''

The Mexican bank, which boasts 1,603 retail branches from Tijuana to Oaxaca, signed up 1.4 million new retail customers last year; revenue rose 49 percent from 2004 to '07, and profits at its consumer bank increased 42 percent.

``The Citi leadership committee has been talking about what to expect from the world,'' says Medina-Mora, who joined Banamex, where his grandfather worked, in 1971. ``And we see a world that's growing at two different speeds. Vikram is saying, clearly, that a big part of our future lies in the emerging markets. This is where the demographics are going to be in our favor.''

Weill Still Believes

Pandit is eager to replicate the Mexican franchise in India and China. The bank has a 100-year history in both countries. In China, it's been opening new branches and was recently cleared to issue debit cards. In India, it has about 40 retail branches, 450 ATMs and 450 consumer finance offices. It serves private-wealth clients and has 4,000 corporate accounts.

Former CEO Weill, 75, has no doubt that the universal model creates value for investors. He now goes to work every day on the 46th floor of the white-marble General Motors Building in Manhattan. Among the dozens of mementos in Weill's suite of large, sunny rooms -- the rent is paid by Citi -- is a framed group of three graphs.

Weill points to one that plots stock performance from the day he took consumer lender Commercial Credit public in October 1986 to the day he retired as Citi CEO in October 2003. The rising red line shows a return of 2,699 percent.

Warren Buffett

The graph's other lines show shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc., up 2,588 percent; Maurice ``Hank'' Greenberg's American International Group Inc., up 976 percent; and Jack Welch's General Electric Co., up 840 percent.

``In the financial business, companies don't have unique products,'' Weill says. ``It's about how they deliver the product. Citi has to be the low-cost producer again. That's where the winners are going to come from, and I think they know that.''

The best day of Weill's career, he says, was April 6, 1998, when he and Reed announced the $80 billion merger of insurance giant Travelers Group Inc. -- which contained bond trader Salomon Brothers and broker Smith Barney -- and Citicorp.

They promised a new kind of bank, a company so vast and coordinated that corporate and retail customers alike would shed other financial service providers. Profit would soar as Citi cross-sold credit cards, insurance, commercial loans and merger advice to its retail and commercial customers.

Reed's Regret

Weill still believes in the model. Reed, 69, does not.

``I'd like to say that it worked, but it didn't,'' he says in a phone interview from his home on Ile de Re, off the coast of France. ``The stockholders have not done well. From a people point of view, it's been nothing but turmoil. The customer franchises are weaker than they were.''

Reed sold all his shares in Citi, where he worked from 1964 to 2000, when he left, he says.

Some current and former Citi executives place the blame for the firm's troubles on Weill's shoulders. He refused to spend enough on technology and failed to integrate the new companies he acquired, say people familiar with the matter. As co-CEO with Reed, and then sole leader until 2003, Weill drove Citigroup to record profits by adding companies and squeezing out costs.

One of his biggest purchases, in 2001, was Associates First Capital Corp., a consumer lender that's part of today's 1,215- branch CitiFinancial network. CitiFinancial makes mortgage, auto and other loans to consumers.

Yet its branches don't have the software to enable its salespeople to offer an array of credit cards to its customers, says a person familiar with the operation.

Technology Bloat

``Each business has been operating with its own back office,'' Pandit told investors and analysts gathered in New York on May 9. ``We have 140,000 people in IT and operations. We have 16 database standards. We have 25,000 developers. This results not only in waste but doesn't give us any opportunity to leverage our organization. That's massively inefficient. We're finally going to merge it all.''

If a doctor of finance can solve these problems, Vikram Shankar Pandit is well qualified. He was born in Nagpur, in the central Indian state of Maharashtra, on Jan. 14, 1957.

His father, Shankar, worked for Ambalal Sarabhai Group, an Indian pharmaceuticals company, according to a December article on the Indian Web site Rediff.com. The family moved often, and young Vikram attended five or six schools as a child, his now 86- year-old father told Rediff.com.

Four Degrees

``He always stood first in his class wherever he was,'' the elder Pandit said.

Shankar Pandit's business travels included a stint in Mombasa, Kenya, when Vikram was 12, and a move to New York when his son was 16. In 1973, Vikram began commuting from his parents' apartment in Rego Park in the borough of Queens to Columbia University, the Ivy League school on the Upper West Side of Manhattan.

Pandit earned a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering in 1976; a master's degree in engineering in 1977; a Master of Business Administration in 1980, at age 23; and a doctorate in finance in 1986.

Pandit joined Columbia's board of trustees in 2003. ``Vikram took on a very significant leadership role on the board with the fewest words spoken of anyone,'' says Columbia President Lee Bollinger. Pandit has been advising the 24-member board on how the university, with 23,000 students, can become a global institution. ``That has been very valuable to me,'' Bollinger says.

`Not a Cheerleader'

Pandit hasn't fully embraced his role as a public figure. He refused to be photographed for this story.

At Citi's annual presentation for analysts and investors, a four-hour May meeting with no break and dozens of PowerPoint slides, he spoke largely from teleprompters in a style reminiscent of a university lecture.

``He's not a cheerleader,'' Rubin says. ``Vikram's style is more leadership by intellect and conviction; he really believes.''

While working on his doctoral thesis, Pandit took a job in 1981 as an assistant professor at Indiana University in Bloomington. After less than two years, he jumped to Wall Street.

Joining Morgan Stanley

``There was all this interesting stuff going on in academia about capital markets and how they behave and where they might go,'' Pandit says. ``It was fascinating to think about actually making it work. That's what made me shift.''

Pandit joined Morgan Stanley in 1983, taking a job in the equities division, where, among other projects, he built the firm's prime brokerage.

In September 2000, he was promoted to oversee trading and sales as co-president of institutional securities with Stephan Newhouse.

In the third quarter of 2003, their unit was the firm's biggest moneymaker, bringing in 65 percent of Morgan Stanley's profit.

When Newhouse was named president of the New York-based firm under CEO Philip Purcell, Pandit became sole head of institutional securities, overseeing about 8,000 people.

$18.5 Million Paycheck

In 2004, the firm ranked No. 1 in arranging global and U.S. equity offerings, according to Bloomberg data. Pandit brought home $18.5 million that year.

Newhouse says the two worked well together. ``We split the labor,'' Newhouse says. ``He's not given to bombast or temper, and he tends to work methodically. It's very difficult to get him excited.''

That doesn't mean Pandit isn't ambitious. In 2005, he was in the thick of it when a battle broke out between Purcell and Morgan Stanley shareholders and former executives. Early that year, eight former executives wrote Purcell a letter that criticized his leadership.

In response, on March 28, Purcell reshuffled the investment bank's executive suite, naming Zoe Cruz and Stephen Crawford as co-presidents. Pandit had been Cruz's boss. He and Havens resigned the next day.

Purcell himself stepped down in June. Later that year, Pandit got a $9.04 million payout package from Morgan Stanley; Havens got $7.9 million. Crawford left a month after Purcell, and Cruz was pushed out -- a victim of Morgan Stanley's subprime- related writedowns -- in November 2007.

Hedge Fund Rookies

In March 2006, Pandit and Havens announced they'd raised $2 billion and were starting a hedge fund they called Old Lane. The pair hired two dozen fellow Morgan Stanley alumni to help run the fund.

Just six months after Old Lane's debut, Citi came courting. Prince needed help in Citi's alternative investments division, and Pandit and Havens had the background the bank was looking for, says Lewis Kaden, a Citigroup vice chairman who Prince hired in 2005 as chief administrative officer.

To get Pandit, Citi was willing to buy Old Lane. It took two tries, Kaden says. After weeks of negotiating in the fall of 2006, Pandit called Kaden on Christmas Eve and said his group had decided not to sell. Two months later, Old Lane's owners changed their minds.

Citi bought the firm, then a $4.2 billion fund, for about $800 million, according to people familiar with the agreement. Pandit's take was about $170 million, of which $100 million was to stay in the fund, according to a regulatory filing.

`Feeding Frenzy'

Analysts of the deal said Citi paid too much. ``Almost everyone that bought a hedge fund in that period overpaid,'' says Geoff Bobroff, a consultant to asset managers who's based in East Greenwich, Rhode Island. ``There was a feeding frenzy.''

In June, Citi closed Old Lane, which returned 2.8 percent in 2007, and took a $202 million writedown on its investment. Citi officials say the hedge fund's holdings have either been disbursed to its clients or are still being managed inside the firm.

After Pandit arrived at Citi in July 2007, he rose quickly. In September, Prince put him in charge of the institutional client group, the Citi business based in lower Manhattan that includes investment banking, capital markets and corporate lending.

A few weeks later, after CFO Crittenden telephoned Prince to let him know the bank would take a new writedown, Prince resigned.

Pandit was on the shortlist of possible new CEOs from the beginning. ``The strengths they saw were obvious,'' Kaden says. ``He's smart, thoughtful and focused on talent and risk management. He's well regarded by people on the outside.''

Decision Maker

The board was looking for a decisive leader, says Rubin, who was a member of the four-man selection committee. ``The question was, if you come into something like this -- probably the most important job in financial services anywhere -- would he be willing to make major decisions?'' Rubin says. ``He's turned out to be able to do exactly that.''

Rubin cites the decision to name regional CEOs as an example. Citi executives talked about regional management for years, he says, and never came to a conclusion.

``Then Vikram came in here and sat down and listened to people,'' he says. ``He's sort of like President Clinton in that way. He wants to hear pros and cons, and then he decides.''

Citi's 17-member board did not name Pandit chairman, a role held by Winfried Bischoff, a former chairman of Citi in Europe.

Beyond organizational issues, Pandit's top goal is to cut costs. CFO Crittenden, 51, is leading a so-called reengineering effort that will save about $15 billion over three years, he says.

Efficiency Ratio

A slim, personable Utah native with degrees from Brigham Young University and Harvard Business School, Crittenden has worked as CFO of American Express Cos., Monsanto Corp. and Sears Roebuck & Co. He aims to bring the bank's efficiency ratio, a calculation of revenue compared with expenses, to 58 percent, down from 62 percent in the first quarter of 2008.

Pandit says he's been getting e-mails from employees pointing out inefficiencies they've observed for years. The company spends about $1.3 billion a year on printing, he says, an area where he thinks Citi can get a better deal.

``There are examples of things like this everywhere in this organization, and I kind of think that's great,'' he says. ``It's low-hanging fruit.''

Apte, the new CEO for Central Europe, says he and his executives have been meeting since March to redesign operations for the region. He says making obvious changes -- such as closing overlapping branches -- will mean an immediate 15 to 20 percent reduction in headcount and expenses in countries such as Poland.

Revamping ICG

At the heart of Citi, and its huge losses in the past year, is the institutional client group, or ICG, the Wall Street arm of the vast bank.

The unit houses sales and trading, investment banking, corporate and commercial lending, hedge funds, transaction services -- that's cash management and trade processing -- and private equity. After running it for three months last fall, Pandit put Havens, his closest lieutenant, in charge.

On a record 97-degree-Fahrenheit (36-degree-Celsius) day in early June, Havens sits in a library on the 39th floor of the unit's downtown Manhattan headquarters wearing a navy pinstripe suit and suspenders embroidered with British pound symbols. He's just returned from Hong Kong, Shanghai and Tokyo, a trip so quick he didn't have time for jet lag, he says.

Moving Day

In his first nine weeks on the job, Havens has made a host of changes. To improve communications among the unit's bosses, he's moved to the same floor the offices of all ICG executives, including investment banking chief Ray McGuire, sales and trading head James Forese and transaction services boss Paul Galant.

He and Richard Evans, the unit's new risk manager, hired in April from Deutsche Bank AG, have worked out new trading rules to avoid any repeat of the subprime mess. He's stripping some of the risk out of the division by building up Citi's prime brokerage, equities and commodities units, which are geared to generate steady fees.

``We're trying to diversify our revenue stream and earnings away from the credit cycle,'' Havens says. ``Some people are saying we are pulling back from the client. That's nonsense. But are we going to be everything to everybody? No. That's not a good model.''

Havens is determined to rally his troops. Morale has stagnated for years in Citi's investment bank, some employees say, in part because of the lingering ghosts of banks such as Salomon Brothers, the bond trading firm that Weill bought in 1997, and Schroders, the British advisory company purchased in 2000.

Cliques

Bankers from those organizations formed cliques within Citi that prevented the corporate culture from jelling, say current and former investment bank employees.

``Over the years, we've had some very unique and powerful cultures within this organization,'' Havens says. ``The question now is, 'What are we going to do about it?'''

What Havens is doing is walking the trading floors and hosting Friday breakfasts with groups of 20 managing directors. He has met, one-on-one, with at least 300 current and potential employees. He initiated a 7:30 a.m. global conference call every Monday for the 65,000 people who work for him, to offer company updates and market insight for the week ahead.

That kind of meeting, a long tradition at Morgan Stanley, has never been a regular practice at Citi. So far, about 6,000 have been dialing in, according to people familiar with the matter.

Pandit and Havens are also changing the way bankers earn their bonuses, basing incentive pay on team and firm-wide goals, as opposed to payment for individual performance. They want to send a clear signal, they say, that from now on everyone at Citigroup will be working toward a common goal.

`It's All Here'

``It's all here; it's a hell of a firm,'' Havens says. ``We just have to get it together.''

Havens echoes Pandit in saying that some of Citi's most important franchises are in places such as Mexico, India and China. When he worked for Morgan Stanley and needed to get information to do business in an emerging-market country, he would first dial up the local Citibank manager, he says.

``We would always call the Citi guy on the ground to figure out what we needed to do to get something done there,'' Havens says. ``And they were probably going to be our local bank.''

Pandit says size is crucial to pulling Citigroup out of the ditch. ``We have to get our shop in order,'' he says. ``But the beauty of this place is that we can spot trends sooner than anybody else because of the scope and scale of who we are.''

With tens of billions of losses already on the books -- and more red ink and writedowns predicted -- getting the Citigroup shop in order could be a multiyear project. What Pandit proposes to do is keep the bank on the path set for it by Weill, yet run it better.

The question is whether the quiet, intellectual CEO can convince long-suffering Citi stockholders that his plan is the right one.



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