"During such scary periods, you should never forget two things: First, widespread fear is your friend as an investor, because it serves up bargain purchases. Second, personal fear is your enemy. It will also be unwarranted." - Warren Buffett
Before the Budget, Indian stock markets were on a roll. Markets gained an impressive 28% in the past one year. The Sensex closed above 36,200 on 29 January. It seemed nothing could halt this juggernaut.
Then all hell broke loose. Clearly, the long-term capital gains tax did not go down well.
But there is a much simpler explanation at hand.
What Goes Up Must Come Down
But Don't Be Afraid
What Should You Do Now?
Market corrections like this one, are a great opportunity to accumulate high-quality stocks at sensible prices.
Before the Budget, Indian stock markets were on a roll. Markets gained an impressive 28% in the past one year. The Sensex closed above 36,200 on 29 January. It seemed nothing could halt this juggernaut.
Then all hell broke loose. Clearly, the long-term capital gains tax did not go down well.
But there is a much simpler explanation at hand.
Markets have never moved only in one direction. In raging bull markets, often a single negative trigger can reverse the direction. In our case, it turned out to be the Budget.
Market crashes are nothing to be afraid of.Crashes are necessary, from time to time, for the healthy functioning of markets. A big loss on any one day does not mean a bull market has changed to a bear market.It means that a much-needed correction is finally happening.
The world's richest investor, Warren Buffett, loves market crashes. In his 2017 letter to shareholders, he wrote:
The world's richest investor, Warren Buffett, loves market crashes. In his 2017 letter to shareholders, he wrote:
- "The years ahead will occasionally deliver major market declines -- even panics -- that will affect virtually all stocks. No one can tell you when these traumas will occur."
Indeed. No one could have predicted this correction.
We had reached a stage where the market had become very expensive. A correction was badly needed to bring valuations down to reasonable levels.
"The 800-point crash in the Sensex, today, was not an over-reaction to the Budget. As much as the business papers and talking heads would like you to believe so, that's not true. Rather such a correction was in the offing for long. And it is something I have been warning you about for a while.For a safety-first investor, such corrections should ideally be the period of maximum activity."
Also, If the market keeps falling... stay tuned for more good opportunities.
In conclusion, here's what I believe you should do.
In conclusion, here's what I believe you should do.
- Do not give in to fear.
- Know that the market will recover.
- Focus your efforts to identify the highest quality stocks.
- Check if their prices have fallen to attractive levels.
- If yes, buy them and hold for the long-term.
- If not, be patient and wait for the right price
The market was due for correction and budget became the trigger. In my opinion, even if the budget did not have LTCG, markets would have still fallen but the loss was extended with this bad news.
1 comment:
Good Explanation. At now, I am interested on havells india.
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